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Markets Guides

Understand prediction markets and trading without the hype — how markets price probability, what moves them, how to manage risk, and crypto fundamentals. Educational, not financial advice.

What Is a Prediction Market?A simple explanation of prediction markets — how buying and selling "shares" in an outcome turns a crowd’s money into a probability estimate. How Do Prediction Markets Work?The mechanics behind prediction markets — contracts, order books, how prices move, and how a position resolves to a payout. How to Read Prediction Market OddsHow to translate prediction-market prices into probabilities and back, and how they compare to traditional betting odds. Prediction Markets vs Sports BettingHow prediction markets differ from sportsbooks — who sets the price, how you profit, and the risk realities of each. What Moves Prediction Market Prices?The forces that push prediction-market prices up and down — new information, sentiment, liquidity, and time to resolution. How to Manage Risk When TradingFoundational risk-management principles for any trading or prediction market — position sizing, only risking what you can lose, and avoiding tilt. Crypto Basics for BeginnersA plain, hype-free primer on cryptocurrency — what it is, wallets and keys, custody, volatility, and the security basics that protect you. Are Prediction Markets Legal?A general overview of why prediction-market legality varies by location, the categories regulators care about, and how to check your own situation.